If you believe the new NYT/CBS poll, then in accounting for his 14-point national lead, Obama has, in only a week, cut McCain's lead among white evangelicals from 55 points (75-20) to 36 (63-27). At that rate, he would pick up a good 30 percent of their vote come November 4--outperforming both Gore and Kerry. On the other hand, the new LAT/Bloomberg poll, which has Obama up by 11, has white evangelicals supporting McCain 69-20, which is more like the usual margin, so who knows?
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